Petroleum Reservoir Evaluation and Development ›› 2026, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (1): 128-140.doi: 10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2024496

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Study on plume evolution and influencing factors of reservoir and caprock integrity in CO2 deep saline aquifer storage: A case study of Shenhua CCS project

WANG Nenghao1(), LIAN Wei2,3(), LI Jun1,2,3, LI Jiaqi4   

  1. 1.College of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing 102249, China
    2.Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Efficient Utilization and Storage of Carbon Dioxide, China University of Petroleum (Beijing) at Karamay, Karamay, Xinjiang 834000, China
    3.Hainan Institute of China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Sanya, Hainan 572025, China
    4.Oil Production Technology Research Institute, PetroChina Xinjiang Oilfield Company, Karamay, Xinjiang 834000, China
  • Received:2024-11-04 Online:2026-01-07 Published:2026-01-26

Abstract:

The plume evolution in long-term CO2 storage can cause changes in formation pore pressure, which may lead to caprock integrity failure in severe cases, posing leakage risks. Current studies on CO2 plume evolution and reservoir/caprock integrity mostly rely on single engineering and geological parameters, lacking research on the influencing factors of CO2 leakage rate, plume evolution, and reservoir/caprock integrity. Taking the Ordos onshore saline aquifer storage project as an example, and combining it with actual engineering and geological parameters, a model for analyzing CO2 long-term storage plume evolution and formation pressure was established. CO2 gas saturation, leakage rate, pore pressure, and the Mohr-Coulomb criterion were used to evaluate plume evolution and reservoir/caprock integrity. Sensitivity analysis of injection parameters and reservoir/caprock physical properties was conducted using the control variable method, clarifying the primary factors affecting plume evolution and reservoir/caprock integrity. The results showed that the main influencing factors of plume lateral and vertical migration ranges were injection rate and caprock permeability, respectively. A good caprock with permeability below 0.01×10-3 μm2 could effectively prevent continuous vertical migration of CO2. Reservoir permeability primarily affected the speed of plume migration, with a relatively high-permeability reservoir of 40×10-3 μm2 allowing the CO2 plume to reach a steady-state migration range within 15 years. The primary factor influencing CO2 leakage along the caprock was caprock permeability, with values exceeding 1.25×10-3 μm2 leading to leakage rates exceeding 1% specified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). When reservoir permeability was below 5×10-3 μm2 or injection rate was above 30×104 t/a, there was a risk of reservoir rock failure. The reservoir/caprock integrity was crucial for ensuring long-term stable operation of geological storage projects. A good reservoir/caprock combination and an appropriate injection scheme could reduce the leakage rate to below 1% and decrease pressure accumulation by approximately 50%. The research findings can provide references for the selection of target formations and the design of injection schemes for geological storage projects in China.

Key words: CO2 geological storage, pressure accumulation, plume evolution, leakage rate, reservoir/caprock integrity

CLC Number: 

  • TE822